The Other Motu Proprio
In June Pope Benedict issued a Motu Proprio that restored the ancient rule for papal elections.
Prior to the last conclave John Paul II had modified the long-standing tradition of a two-thirds requirement to elect a Pope. He stipulated that, though this would hold true for the first thirty-four ballots, thereafter the Cardinals would be free to decide whether a simple majority would suffice for election.
Now Benedict has reversed that decision and restored the ancient tradition.
Sandro Magister provides an article by the Jesuit canonist, Ladislas Orsy, formerly of the Gregorian University in Rome (where I happily learned whatever Canon Law I know from him), now at Georgetown.
Orsy writes:
This [John Paul's new procedure] was an innovation, and a breach with an ancient tradition; no one
could deny it. No wonder that it caused dissatisfaction among competent
persons. Benedict XVI in his “motu proprio” refers to them: he states
that “numerous petitions of eminent authority” reached the then
reigning pope asking him to undo what he did.
Yet, the significance of the new order was not obvious for the
public at large; the press usually avid for sensation, hardly mentioned
it. After all, in recent elections, just how many times has the
conclave come to an impasse? It seemed that John Paul did no more than
to provide for an unlikely event; otherwise the change had no
significance.
The purpose of this article is to show that the change introduced
by John Paul was a momentous deed of his pontificate and that it had
the potential to set the church in a new (and perhaps perilous) course.
Benedict XVI restored the even flow of history. To understand all that, let us recall the tradition.
Orsy explains with his accustomed clarity both the tradition and the threat that John Paul’s innovation posed. And then engages in a fascinating “thought experiment.” What if John Paul’s rules had been in effect at the Conclave of 1978 — the one that elected him Pope.
For the possible outcome, read further.



It seems to me that Orsy’s scenario *almost* works. The pressure could and probably would be leveraged this way. However, since the cardinals would be aware that a simple majority election would leave the new Pope in a weakened position, without a mandate, some majority electors would probably hesitate to allow the vote to occur according to the optional rules. A simple majority for a particular candidate might be easier to come by than a simple majority for the candidate + the revised rules of voting.
Presumably the minority electors would know this weakness and take it into account when being lobbied.